In a typical scenario, we have an outcome measurement, usually categorical (such as heart attack / no heart attack) or quantitative (such as a temperature measurement), that we wish to predict based on a set of features.
Classification: when we predict categorical (qualitative) outputs
Regression: when we predict quantitative outputs.
Regression
Statistical method that attempts to determine the relationship between the dependent variable $Y$ and a set of independent variables $X$.
- Dependent or response variable: the variable whose values change as a consequence of changes in other values in the system
- Independent or predictors or explanatory variables: regarded as inputs to the system and may take on different values freely.
Widely used for predicting the next value of the dipendent value $Y$ from the values of the independent variables $X$.
Regression VS Forecasting:
- Regression: determine the relationship between two time series
- Forecasting: predict the next value of a time series from the values of one or multiple time series in a dataaset using the learned relationship.
Time Series Forecasting
Univariate vs Multivariate TS
- Time series can be classified as univariate and multivariate.
- It is an important distinction as the selection of the forecasting method depends, among other factors, on this.
- Univariate time series is observation of one variable over time.
- Multivariate time series is a collection of several univariate time series where a series can impact others.